Successful trading is about helping yourself and putting the ‘odds’ on your side. In part 23 we looked at strategy, design and implementation. This week, we’re going to take a brief look at an often forgotten and overlooked use of technical analysis: Risk & Trade Management. If you are a raw fundamentalist, or don’t want to use technical analysis to make trading execution decisions, that’s fine, but I think you’re being foolish if you don’t consider using technical analysis to improve your risk & trade management processes. [Read more…]
Technical Analysis (Part 8): Direct Price Analysis (DPA) – Trends, Support & Resistance
Last week in Part 7, we looked at Market Breadth. We now start a chain of eight articles covering technical analysis directly carried out on price. We will be looking at patterns, support & resistance, trends, Fibonacci, pivots, moving averages, bands, indicators and Ichimoku. The first of the eight, looks at Trends, Support & Resistance. Understanding these principles will give you the necessary building blocks to understand price action and analysis and evolve your technical analysis learning. [Read more…]
Chart of the day: 09/05/17 AUDUSD
The Australian Dollar (-0.53%) has been giving back strength since mid March’17 as commodity prices have disappointed and major business partners like China have shown a lesser appetite for Australian products and resources.
In the longer term momentum looks weak with the possibility of price now it looks to have broken some key Fibonacci / resistance levels possibly targeting another important Fibonacci target at 0.721? Price since Mar 2016 has been playing in a volatile range between 0.77 and 0.72, so a test at those lows may prove significant. If price does find support at those lows then the chances are price will head once more back into this range.
In the shorter term ahead of todays budget, AUD looks to be holding between the S2 and S3 pivots around the 0.73’s (also just above a longer term Fibonacci support line), waiting on its outcome before deciding to take another move.