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Chart of the day: 09/05/17 AUDUSD

May 9, 2017 by The Stop Hunter Leave a Comment

The Australian Dollar (-0.53%) has been giving back strength since mid March’17 as commodity prices have disappointed and major business partners like China have shown a lesser appetite for Australian products and resources.

In the longer term momentum looks weak with the possibility of price now it looks to have broken some key Fibonacci / resistance levels possibly targeting another important Fibonacci target at 0.721? Price since Mar 2016 has been playing in a volatile range between 0.77 and 0.72, so a test at those lows may prove significant. If price does find support at those lows then the chances are price will head once more back into this range.

In the shorter term ahead of todays budget, AUD looks to be holding between the S2 and S3 pivots around the 0.73’s (also just above a longer term Fibonacci support line), waiting on its outcome before deciding to take another move.

Filed Under: Trading Tagged With: technical analysis, commodities, China, momentum, Fibonacci, AUDUSD, AUD, chart of the day, budget, australian, pivots

Chart of the day (28/03/17): Copper HG

March 28, 2017 by The Stop Hunter Leave a Comment

Chart of the day: Copper (HG) With the Trump trillion Dollar infrastructure plans going a bit quiet, extra demand for Copper is still being drawn from China and from industries / corporations such as those dealing in electric battery technology. Technically, using the Renko charts for clarity, the price has been caught in a triangle pattern around 2.72 which in LME numbers is approximately the key psychological level of 6000. A break above here could see the previous up trend in late Nov/ Dec ’16 replicated, which would have a target of between 3.1 on the Fibonacci extensions and 3.2 from the prior trend which in LME terms gives a target number of roughly 7000. Downside support 2.47 (5400’s) then 2.31 (5100’s).

Filed Under: Trading Tagged With: technical analysis, China, Copper, Renko, HG, lme

This Week in the Markets 6th June 2016

June 6, 2016 by The Stop Hunter Leave a Comment

Newspaper

Not a lot of big impact news about this week that may affect the markets. China are off on Thursday and Friday for their Dragon Boat festival holidays. [Read more…]

Filed Under: News, Trading Tagged With: trading, financial markets, China, Brexit, market news, stock market

US Rate rise a non-event or globally significant?

December 17, 2015 by The Stop Hunter Leave a Comment

So was the US Rate rise a non-event or globally significant? The recent increase in interest rates by Janet Yellen, the Governor of the Fed, from 0.25% to 0.5% may on the surface appear an insignificant change. But in fact it has far reaching global concequences. This was the first time the US have raised rates since June 2006, therefore ending their policy of low interest. It must be pointed out though that 0.5% is in itself extremely low still, but it does signify a possible shift in thinking by the Fed and we could see rates creep up slowly over time. The magic warning number these days is 4% – where if that does happen I am reliably informed that we should sell everything including the kitchen sink! Janet Yellen sees rates at 3 1/4% by 2018.

timeTime was running out for Janet Yellen to increase rates. Since September the market had been getting twitchy. If she hadn't we could have seen some fireworks! As it happens though the whole event went off very smoothly.-is-money-1059987_1280
Time was running out for Janet Yellen to increase rates. Since September the market had been getting twitchy. If she hadn’t we could have seen some fireworks! As it happens though the whole event went off very smoothly.

The immediate impact on the markets was sort of a non-event. They had been pricing in such a rise since September, so there were no real surprises which kept most things stable and allowed traders to focus on the fundamentals.

Why the increase now?

[Read more…]

Filed Under: News, Trading Tagged With: China, Emerging Markets, interest rate, Fed, Yellen, UK, US, rise, monetary policy, ECB, Japan, Santa Rally

Emerging Markets – Where next? Who will lead the pack out of trouble?

October 7, 2015 by The Stop Hunter Leave a Comment

Emerging Markets – struggling to survive?

The Emerging Markets have been hit hard over the last three months to say the least. More so because of China’s weakening economy, currency devaluation issues, internal reforms and generally stellar poor performance. This is borne out in the Shanghai Composite Index which has shown a near 40% fall! [Read more…]

Filed Under: Trading Tagged With: spread betting, trading, technical analysis, commodities, China, The Stop Hunter, Emerging Markets, MSCI Index, India

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